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Perceptual models of uncertainty for socio-hydrological systems: a flood risk change example
IVL Svenska Miljöinstitutet.
2017 (engelsk)Inngår i: Hydrological Sciences Journal, ISSN 0262-6667, E-ISSN 2150-3435, Vol. 62, s. 1705-1713Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

Characterizing, understanding and better estimating uncertainties are key concerns for drawing robust conclusions when analyzing changing socio-hydrological systems. Here we suggest developing a perceptual model of uncertainty that is complementary to the perceptual model of the socio-hydrological system and we provide an example application to flood risk change analysis.

Such a perceptual model aims to make all relevant uncertainty sources – and different perceptions thereof – explicit in a structured way. It is a first step to assessing uncertainty in system outcomes that can help to prioritize research efforts and to structure dialogue and communication about uncertainty in interdisciplinary work.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2017. Vol. 62, s. 1705-1713
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:ivl:diva-3729DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2017.1356926OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ivl-3729DiVA, id: diva2:1572940
Merknad
A-rapport, A2271Tilgjengelig fra: 2021-06-24 Laget: 2021-06-24

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